Fantasy Football Rankings: Players Hayden Winks Is Higher And Lower On Than Consensus For Week 10

Fantasy football analyst Hayden Winks shares the players he's higher — and lower — on than Yahoo consensus for Week 9.

These rankings will be tinkered with all the way until kickoff, so please check back in on our weekly rankings pages and Sunday AM sit/start show for the absolute latest.

These blurbs are also in The Blueprint, which is my weekly rankings and analysis column. The RB version is out on Wednesdays, while the WR version and the QB/TE/K/DEF version are each out on Thursdays before Thursday Night Football.

Players Hayden is higher on

Wan’Dale Robinson, WR, Titans — (vs. JAX) - 40.5 proj. receiving yards

My PPR Scam senses are tingling. Carnell Tate (shoulder) was ruled out after the bye, leaving Robinson competing with Elic Ayomanor, Calvin Ridley and Chimere Dike for targets. Over the past month, Robinson is the WR34 in targets per game (6.5), and the Cam Ward film over that span has been the best since he entered the league. Tennessee also could clean some things up after their bye in their first year in the system with an inexperienced QB.

That leads us to the matchup. Jacksonville has a great defense, but they are a pass funnel. They've allowed just 89 rushing YPG versus 239 through the air. The game script is obviously geared to tons of garbage time opportunities, and the funkiness of this zone defense could lead to underneath looks in particular. The floor is 3-18-0 but what if this is the signature 8-42-0 line? We can dream.

Germie Bernard, WR, Steelers — (at CIN) - 51.5 proj. receiving yards

Bernard has averaged 7.6 targets per game without Michael Pittman Jr. as the new slot/flanker hybrid. He's the underneath WR, while DK Metcalf runs clear out routes. Bernard is a post-bye rookie bump candidate now that Aaron Rodgers has welcomed him to the trust tree. Bernard has been the WR26 on WR26 usage this month, racking up WR10 receptions per game.

The matchup with Cincy can be difficult for boundary WRs but CB1 DJ Turner II will be busy with Metcalf, while Bernard gets the easier matchups. The Bengals' LB and S groups have been very poor this year, particularly with tackling and Bernard is not easy to bring down. They've allowed the 10th-most points to WRs in the 5-15 air yards range. A lively 23.0-point team total (14th) as 3.5-point dogs sets Bernard up well.

Chris Rodriguez Jr., RB, Jaguars — (at TEN) - 39.5 proj. total yards

Rodriguez isn't going to close the Bhayshul Tuten gap, but he is still splitting the goal line role and occasionally ripping off an explosive himself. He's been the RB19 and RB18 in the most recent contests, as a TD-or-bust FLEX option in half PPR. He's still only the RB57 in usage across the season, so beware of chasing recency bias. Jacksonville has a massive 28.5-point team total against the Jeffery Simmons-less Titans. If there's a week to dream, it's this one. That was also true over the past two outings against the Colts and Ravens with Joe Fagnano.

DJ Moore, WR, Bills — (at NYJ) - 45.5 proj. receiving yards

Moore has played two normal games to me, Week 1 (WR8 on WR23 usage) and Week 8 (WR13 on WR9 usage). Everything else has been derailed by injury and a matchup with the Vikings' chaotic defense. We're still fully in limbo, but the ceiling is very obvious. I think the type of routes Moore is running suits his skill set best. He's a great fantasy trade deadline target.

This is an eruption spot here. Buffalo is favored on the road as 8.5-point road favorites with an implied team total of 29.5 points (first). The Jets have had a very easy fantasy WR schedule this season, yet have recently allowed WR20, WR8 and WR10 finishes this month to Jalen Nailor, Caleb Douglas and Pop Douglas.

Tyler Shough, QB, Saints — (vs. CAR) - 19.8 proj. points

Shough has at least 15.8 fantasy points in every game except for his date with the Vikings. He was essentially stood up there. Now that he has LT Kelvin Banks back and had the bye week to heal his own fractured left hand, it's time to take Shough seriously as a fantasy QB1. He's the QB8 on the season and could get more production out of his third receiver spot with Jordyn Tyson mixing in. Shough can run when needed, and he may not need to against the Panthers. We'll see if they can return EDGE1, CB1 or CB2 back here. The Saints have a 25.5-point team total (seventh).

Players Hayden is lower on

Tucker Kraft, TE, Packers — (vs. MIN) - 38.5 proj. yards

Kraft has been the TE10 on TE7 over the past month, his best of the season. Unfortunately, Kraft is just not the same player on film after his ACL tear and the WRs have stepped up to a degree that has worked against his target numbers (5.8 PG).

Beyond that, the Vikings' chaotic blitz-heavy defense has stifled TE production (32nd in half PPR allowed), as they're more often staying in to block than getting out in the route. Kraft has been the TE17 and TE22 against Brian Flores in his last games, including in Week 1 of this year.

Breece Hall, RB, Jets — (vs. BUF) - 74.5 proj. total yards

Hall was the RB17 on RB16 usage in his return to the field against the Chiefs, who blew them out of the water immediately. Hall didn't play as many passing downs as expected, but he did show nice athleticism as a rusher (15 carries) and still managed to have three receptions.

In the red zone, Hall had a few carries to get the Jets to the 4-yard line, but Braelon Allen entered afterwards and played on all three of those goal-line snaps. They split short-yardage work otherwise. Hall can't afford to lose goal-line work if the hope is returning to top-15 fantasy RB status. The Jets have averaged 19.1 expected half PPR points to their RB room this season, and it's roughly a 60/40 split. Hall is a volatile RB2.

The matchup is more daunting up front than in the air against the Bills. Buffalo has breakout DT Deone Walker and EDGE Gregory Rousseau, and they've only allowed 92 rushing YPG (26th). New York projects for 21.0 points as big-time home dogs.

Garrett Wilson, WR, Jets — (vs. BUF) - 61.5 proj. receiving yards

Wilson should be back to a full-time role from his concussion this week. His issue is the entire skill group is healthy now with both WRs, both TEs and both RBs in the lineup, and there are only so many points available to go around. Over his last four games, Wilson is the WR28 on WR18 usage on a 27% target share. The Jets will run the ball plenty and have struggled to get off the field on the other side of the ball. This season, the Jets WR room is 24th in usage, averaging 23.1 expected half PPR points. It's harder to make the math work with Omar Cooper Jr. playing well and AD Mitchell getting his own deep/red zone looks.

The Bills DL is pretty good, but their secondary has been a problem beyond CB1 Christian Benford, who has been battling injuries throughout the year. They added S Amani Hooker at the deadline to help out. To date, they've allowed the seventh-most half PPR points allowed to WRs on the sixth-highest neutral pass rate (55%). The Jets are 8.5-point home underdogs carrying an implied team total of 21 points (20th). For what it's worth, Wilson has been the WR60, WR25 and WR2 against the Bills in his most recent games.

Ashton Jeanty, RB, Raiders — (vs. SEA) - 64.5 proj. total yards

Jadarian Price, RB, Seahawks — (at LV) - 56.5 proj. total yards

Price has back-to-back RB30 finishes in terms of usage, averaging 9.3 expected half PPR points in his two games with Zach Charbonnet back in the mix. Price is not starting, nor is he getting goal-line work. He's played 1 of 9 snaps inside the 10-yard line over this span. Where he's been helpful is as a receiver (four catches last week in a win) and on explosive designed runs. He'll need receptions and big runs to be fantasy-viable, and those are harder to get without LG Quenton Nelson. Hopefully LT Charles Cross is back here. Price is a no-floor FLEX in half PPR only.

The good news is the Raiders are pretty terrible! They've allowed the most rushing YPG (150), and the Seahawks have a healthy 23.5-point total as favorites against the debuting Fernando Mendoza.