Home Stretch: A Look At The Celtics’ Final 10 Games Of The Regular Season

The Boston Celtics are coming off of perhaps their best win of the season, a 119-109 victory over the Oklahoma City Thunder who were fully healthy for the first time all year. It’s just one game, but the importance of the win can’t be overstated.

For starters, it shows that the Celtics can keep up with one of the Western Conference favorites to reach, or even win the Finals. Statement wins like this can go a long way for a team’s confidence heading into the playoffs. Along with that, the Knicks are hot on Boston’s tail for the second seed, and holding off the most difficult remaining opponent after a disappointing loss to the Timberwolves gives the Celtics just a bit of breathing room.

As things currently stand, Boston is one game ahead of the Knicks for the second seed, with two less games in the loss column. If the two teams were to end up with the same record by the end of the regular season, New York would earn the higher seed, having secured the tie-breaker by having a better record against teams in the same division. The Celtics and Knicks do face off against each other once more before the season ends though, a game which could create the separation Boston is looking for, or put New York in prime position to overtake them.

Along with their race with the Knicks, the Celtics are also still technically in play for the best overall record in the East, currently sitting 4.5 games behind the Pistons. In reality, it should be considered a 5-game gap, since the Pistons took the season series 3 games to 1. It’s going to be extremely difficult for Boston to make up that gap, but a possibility nonetheless. The Cleveland Cavaliers sit 2.5 games behind the Knicks, and four games ahead of the Hawks, so they might have an opportunity to jump up if all goes their way, but are otherwise likely going to end as the 4_^th seed.

So, what should Celtics fans keep an eye on in Boston’s final 10 games of the regular season?

Well, there’s actually quite a bit to consider. Of the remaining games, nine of them are against Eastern Conference opponents, the New Orleans Pelicans being the lone Western Conference competitor. Out of the eight East matchups, the Milwaukee Bucks are the only remaining opponent who seem to be on the outs for Play-In contention, sitting 9 games behind the 10^th seed Magic.

We’ve already mentioned that one of the remaining matchups is against the Knicks, the best remaining team that Boston will face in this final stretch. That still leaves 7 more games against potential playoff teams: the Atlanta Hawks (x2), Charlotte Hornets (x2), Miami Heat, Toronto Raptors, and Orlando Magic.

Those five teams are separated by at most 2 games in the standings, and they make up the 5-10 spots in the East, along with the 7^th seed Sixers which the Celtics will not face again this regular season. Any single one of them could be Boston’s eventual first-round matchup in the playoffs, and the Celtics could heavily influence their ultimate landing spots given the upcoming schedule.

Here’s where each team stands as of today:

5^th. Atlanta Hawks (1-1 vs Celtics, 41-32 overall)

6^th. Toronto Raptors (0-3 vs Celtics, 40-32 overall)

7^th. Philadelphia 76ers (2-2 vs Celtics, 40-33 overall)

8^th. Orlando Magic (1-2 vs Celtics, 39-34 overall)

9^th. Charlotte Hornets (1-0 vs Celtics, 39-34 overall)

10^th. Miami Heat (0-3 vs Celtics, 39-34 overall)

If this were to be how the season ended, Boston as the 2 seed would play the winner of the 7-8 Play-In matchup, that being between Philly and Orlando. These standings are very volatile, however. With the Celtics facing the Hawks twice in the next three games, Boston winning both could drop Atlanta down into that 7^th seed.

Similarly, Boston has two games against Charlotte coming up. If the Hornets were to win both, they could potentially jump up the standings, again making them a possible first round matchup for the Celtics assuming Boston still manages to maintain their own spot as the 2^nd seed.

With the records being so close, every game matters down this stretch for nearly every remaining team in the East. Boston has a slight advantage over the Knicks by having two less losses. The Knicks also have some competition in their remaining games: the Thunder, Rockets, Hawks, Hornets (who they just lost to), Raptors, and us, of course.

Ultimately, it comes down to the Celtics taking care of their own business. Along with holding their spot in the standings, they’ll be looking for Jayson Tatum to keep building rhythm, while also trying to integrate Nikola Vucevic back into the lineup as soon as he returns from nursing the broken finger he suffered earlier this month. Vuc is expected to be back before the end of the regular season, though we don’t have an exact date yet.

It’s important to note that Boston’s last two opponents are the Pelicans and the Magic. These two games, could see a lot of the starters sitting to make sure they get to the playoffs as healthy and rested as possible. Additionally, the Celtics have one more back-to-back, that coming in Charlotte and Atlanta on March 29^th and March 30^th. We may very well see Jayson Tatum at minimum rest one of those nights, potentially along with any other players who may be feeling a bit banged up at this point of the season.

We did see several new players pop up on the injury report for Boston’s game against Atlanta tonight. Jaylen Brown is questionable with calf tightness, Neemias Queta is questionable with a thumb sprain, and Derrick White is questionable with a bruised knee. This means Boston could potentially be without three starters in a key matchup against a red-hot Hawks team.

We don’t know the severity of these injuries, and it is possible that JB, Neemi, and Derrick are just due for some rest. Regardless, whoever plays for Boston will have to be able to execute if they want to maintain their standings, in this game, and every other for the rest of the season.