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Nfl Coach Of The Year Odds 2026: Minter, Harbaugh Head Into Week 1 As Co-favorites

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NFL Coach of the Year odds were high on Mike Vrabel entering last year, and he delivered, guiding the New England Patriots all the way to the Super Bowl.

A similar storyline is emerging ahead of Week 1, with FanDuel favoring John Harbaugh as he begins his first campaign as head coach of the New York Giants.

Following a lengthy tenure with the Baltimore Ravens that included a Super Bowl title in 2013, Harbaugh is listed as the favorite to win NFL Coach of the Year.

Meanwhile, former Ravens DC Jesse Minter also headlines the latest NFL odds for the 2026–27 season.

  • Key Takeaways:
  • Can Harbaugh revive Gotham?
  • Minter brings defensive identity to Baltimore
  • Moore looks to build on strong finish

NFL Coach of the Year odds

 

 Coach Name
Probability
John Harbaugh12%
Jesse Minter12%
Brian Schottenheimer9%
DeMeco Ryans8%
Kellen Moore8%
Aaron Glenn6%
Ben Johnson5%
Jim Harbaugh5%
Klint Kubiak5%
Robert Saleh4%

Odds as of 9-7. Percentages courtesy of Kalshi.

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NFL Coach of the Year favorites

John Harbaugh is the story of the Coach of the Year race, as his 18-year coaching stint in Baltimore came to an end after the Ravens missed the playoffs last season. Now, he takes over a New York Giants team looking to turn things around, bringing a Super Bowl title and 12 playoff appearances to Gotham.

Meanwhile, Jesse Minter is taking over in Baltimore after spending the past two seasons as the Chargers' defensive coordinator. Minter was previously the defensive coordinator for Michigan’s national championship team and made an immediate impact in the NFL, helping the Chargers rank first in points allowed per game in 2024 and fifth in yards surrendered in 2025.

The New Orleans Saints caught fire at the end of last season, winning four of their last five games. With a full season of Tyler Shough under center, Kellen Moore could see this team take a big step forward in his second year as NOLA's HC.

Based on last season’s win-loss records, the Saints are set to have the second-easiest schedule in the NFL this season. New Orleans could quietly emerge as a contender to win the NFC South, a title it hasn’t claimed since 2020.

NFL Coach of the Year futures predictions

PickOddsPick dateUnits
Kellen Moore9%Aug. 12.5

Popular NFL futures markets


NFL Coach of the Year trends

  • There has not been a back-to-back Coach of the Year winner since 1982 and 1983 (Joe Gibbs).
  • There have been 13 multiple winners of the Coach of the Year award, with three coaches (Don Shula, Chuck Knox, Bill Belichick) taking it home 3+ times.
  • Only one man has won NFL Coach of the Year honors despite his team finishing below .500 in the standings that season (Jimmy Johnson in 1990). 

NFL Coach of the Year history

Here's a look at the recent award history (preseason favorite and winner odds courtesy of Sports Odds History):

YearNFL COY Award Winner
2025 Mike Vrabel
2024 Kevin O'Connell
2023 Kevin Stefanski
2022 Brian Daboll
2021 Mike Vrabel
2020 Kevin Stefanski
2019 John Harbaugh
2018 Matt Nagy
2017 Sean McVay
2016 Jason Garrett
2015 Ron Rivera
2014 Bruce Arians
2013 Ron Rivera
2012 Bruce Arians
2011 Jim Harbaugh
2010 Bill Belichick
2009 Marvin Lewis
2008 Mike Smith
2007 Bill Belichick
2006 Sean Payton
2005 Lovie Smith
2004 Marty Schottenheimer
2003 Bill Belichick
2002 Andy Reid
2001 Dick Jauron
2000 Jim Haslett

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