Nfl Playoff Picture Week 10: Giants Come Back To Nfc East Pack With Loss To Commanders

Every week for the duration of the 2026 regular season, USA TODAY Sports will provide timely updates to the NFL's ever-evolving playoff picture − typically starting Sunday afternoon and then moving forward for the remainder of the week (through Monday's and Thursday's games or Saturday's, if applicable. And, when the holidays roll around, we'll be watching then, too).

What just happened? What does it mean? What are the pertinent factors (and, perhaps, tiebreakers) prominently in play as each conference's seven-team bracket begins to crystallize? All will be explained and analyzed up to the point when the postseason field is finalized on Sunday, Jan. 10.

Here's where things stand with Week 10 underway:

NFC playoff picture

1. San Francisco 49ers (7-1), NFC West leaders: A surprisingly comfortable margin in what was the league's best division last year could be tested in the coming weeks. Remaining schedule: at Cowboys, vs. Vikings [at Mexico City], vs. Seahawks, at Giants, vs. Rams, at Chargers, at Chiefs, vs. Eagles, at Cardinals

2. Chicago Bears (7-2), NFC North leaders: Don't get too comfortable, fellas − the fourth-place Pack are only a game back. Remaining schedule: BYE, vs. Saints, at Lions, vs. Jaguars, at Dolphins, at Bills, vs. Packers, vs. Lions, at Vikings

3. New York Giants (5-3-1), NFC East leaders: While they remain in relative control of the division, they let a win slip away against the Washington Commanders on Thursday night − a loss that brought the G-Men closer to the second-place Dallas Cowboys (4-5). The Giants also have the most difficult remaining schedule in their division, though the Cowboys have yet to prove they can take advantage of their opportunities this season. Remaining schedule: vs. Jaguars, at Colts, vs. 49ers, at Seahawks, vs. Browns, at Lions, at Cowboys, vs. Eagles

4. Carolina Panthers (3-5), NFC South leaders: Their 1-1 record in divisional games currently gives them the edge over New Orleans (0-1) − though that goes out the window when they play for the first time this season on Sunday. Also, the Atlanta Falcons and Tampa Bay Buccaneers are both just a half-game back of the Panthers and Saints. Remaining schedule: at Saints, vs. Ravens, at Buccaneers, at Vikings, vs. Saints, vs. Bengals, at Steelers, vs. Seahawks, at Falcons

5. Detroit Lions (6-2),wild card No. 1: Their Week 8 win over Minnesota currently confers the slight seeding advantage, one they'll try to maintain in Germany on Sunday. Remaining schedule: vs. Patriots [at Munich], vs. Buccaneers, vs. Bears, at Falcons, vs. Titans, at Vikings, vs. Giants, at Bears, at Packers

6. Minnesota Vikings (6-2), wild card No. 2: A two-game slide has dropped them off the pace, which is why QB Kirk Cousins has returned to pick it up − and with a key matchup out of the gate Sunday at Lambeau Field. Remaining schedule: at Packers, vs. 49ers [at Mexico City], vs. Falcons, vs. Panthers, at Patriots, vs. Lions, vs. Commanders, at Jets, vs. Bears

7. Green Bay Packers (6-3), wild card No. 3: Is this really going to be the fourth straight season they finish as the NFC's final wild-card entry? Remaining schedule: vs. Vikings, BYE, at Rams, at Saints, vs. Bills, vs. Dolphins, at Bears, vs. Texans, vs. Lions

8. Seattle Seahawks (5-4), in the hunt: The defending champs have been beset by various issues − a new offensive coordinator, a series of QB injuries, having to use their entire running back depth chart. If most of those resolve, maybe they can ultimately break through the NFC North logjam ahead of them. Remaining schedule: at Raiders, BYE, at 49ers, vs. Cowboys, vs. Giants, at Eagles, vs. Rams, at Panthers, at Rams

9. Los Angeles Rams (5-4), in the hunt: Losing their first two NFC West games further hinders a team that's failed to live up to its own hype this season. The Rams also own the league's third-toughest remaining schedule. Remaining schedule: at Cardinals, BYE, vs. Packers, vs. Chiefs, at 49ers, vs. Cowboys, at Seahawks, at Buccaneers, vs. Seahawks

10. Dallas Cowboys (4-5), in the hunt: They're now 1½ games back of the Giants following Thursday's misstep. But won't be easy to make up ground this Sunday. Remaining schedule: vs. 49ers, vs. Titans, vs. Eagles, at Seahawks, BYE, at Rams, vs. Jaguars, vs. Giants, at Commanders

AFC playoff picture

1. Buffalo Bills (7-1), AFC East leaders: They've never had home-field advantage during the Josh Allen era. May as well get it in the first year they're in their glorious new stadium. Remaining schedule: at Jets, vs. Dolphins, vs. Chiefs, at Patriots, at Packers, vs. Bears, at Broncos, at Dolphins, vs. Jets

2. Denver Broncos (7-2), AFC West leaders: Statistically, they have the AFC's easiest remaining schedule, which could mean a second straight No. 1 seed. Remaining schedule: BYE, vs. Raiders, at Steelers, vs. Dolphins, at Jets, at Raiders, vs. Bills, at Patriots, vs. Chargers

3. Jacksonville Jaguars (6-2), AFC South leaders: A better record in AFC games currently has them ahead of Pittsburgh. A roster reloaded ahead of the trade deadline and a weak division could keep the Jags there. Remaining schedule: at Titans, at Giants, vs. Titans, at Bears, vs. Steelers, at Texans, at Cowboys, vs. Commanders, at Colts

4. Pittsburgh Steelers (6-2), AFC North leaders: First place is on the line Sunday night in the Queen City. Remaining schedule: at Bengals, at Eagles, vs. Broncos, vs. Texans, at Jaguars, vs. Ravens, vs. Panthers, at Titans, at Ravens

5. Kansas City Chiefs (6-2), wild card No. 1: Their 6-1 record in AFC games gives them a strong start in the tiebreaker department if they can't get back in front of Denver in the AFC West. Remaining schedule: at Falcons, vs. Cardinals, at Bills, at Rams, at Bengals, vs. Patriots, vs. 49ers, at Chargers, vs. Raiders

6. Cincinnati Bengals (6-2), wild card No. 2: They will move atop the AFC North on Sunday night if they can salvage a season split with Pittsburgh. Remaining schedule: vs. Steelers, at Commanders, vs. Saints, at Browns, vs. Chiefs, at Panthers, at Colts, vs. Ravens, vs. Browns

7. New England Patriots (5-4), wild card No. 3: A two-game edge on the Browns in AFC games currently gives the reigning conference champs the last projected postseason spot in this year's field. Remaining schedule: vs. Lions [at Munich], BYE, at Chargers, vs. Bills, vs. Vikings, at Chiefs, at Jets, vs. Broncos, vs. Dolphins

8. Cleveland Browns (5-4), in the hunt: They're banking on QB Deshaun Watson to get them back on track. And given they don't play on the road again until Dec. 20, this is a stretch to take advantage of. Remaining schedule: vs. Texans, BYE, vs. Raiders, vs. Bengals, vs. Falcons, at Giants, at Ravens, vs. Colts, vs. Bengals

9. Las Vegas Raiders (4-5), in the hunt: Time to see if rookie QB Fernando Mendoza breathes renewed life into the Silver and Black, or if Cousins' steady hand will be missed. Mendoza certainly doesn't get a soft break-in period given the defenses he draws out of the chute. Remaining schedule: vs. Seahawks, at Broncos, at Browns, BYE, vs. Chargers, vs. Broncos, vs. Titans, at Cardinals, at Chiefs

10. Baltimore Ravens (4-5), in the hunt: Can new QB1 Jacoby Brissett keep them afloat long enough to turn the reins back over to Lamar Jackson? Maybe, given Baltimore isn't exactly facing a murderers' row ... at least not until it faces division foes each of the final four weeks. Remaining schedule: vs. Chargers, at Panthers, at Texans, BYE, vs. Buccaneers, at Steelers, vs. Browns, at Bengals, vs. Steelers

11. Houston Texans (3-5), in the hunt: The schedule down the stretch does suggest these notoriously slow starters could once again finish fast. Remaining schedule: at Browns, vs. Colts, vs. Ravens, at Steelers, at Commanders, vs. Jaguars, at Eagles, at Packers, vs. Titans

All the NFL news on and off the field. Sign up for USA TODAY's 4th and Monday newsletter.

This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: NFL playoff picture Week 10: Giants come back to NFC East pack with loss to Commanders