Rockets Vs Grizzlies Prediction, Picks & Odds For Tonight’s Nba Game
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The shorthanded Memphis Grizzlies host the struggling Houston Rockets on Friday night at FedExForum.
Memphis’ frontcourt is decimated with injuries, and my Rockets vs Grizzlies predictions expect Amen Thompson to have a tremendous showing on the glass.
Here are my best free NBA picks for this Western Conference showdown on Friday, March 27.
Rockets vs Grizzlies prediction
Rockets vs Grizzlies best bet: Amen Thompson Over 7.5 rebounds (-135)
Amen Thompson is one of the Houston Rockets' best rebounders, pulling down a career-high 7.9 boards per game. He's recorded at least eight rebounds in 36 of 70 games overall, going for exactly seven rebounds 13 more times.
Thompson has corralled 8.3 rebounds on the road compared to 7.4 at home, and he's gone for 8+ in 21 of 36 away from Toyota Center.
Since the All-Star break, Thompson has pulled down 8.7 rebounds per game and recorded 8+ in nine of 18 appearances. He leads the team in rebounds over the Rockets' last seven games at 10.3, and he's hit the Over on this line five times in that span.
Alperen Sengun has taken a step back as a rebounder, grabbing just 7.7 boards per game across his last 10 outings, allowing Thompson to take a significant step forward in that department.
The Memphis Grizzlies sport one of the thinnest and smallest frontcourt lineups in the NBA, and the team has been highly vulnerable to opposing rebounders.
Over the last 10 games, Memphis has surrendered a league-high 49.7 rebounds, including the third-most offensive rebounds at 13.8. Thompson has been surging as a rebounder, and he should be even better in such a favorable road matchup.
Rockets vs Grizzlies same-game parlay
Thompson recorded 10 dimes in his last game out, and he’s reached that mark in five of his last 11. He’s dished 6+ dimes in 32 of 70 appearances, including 18 of 36 on the road. Thompson finished with 14 and seven assists in two matchups with the Grizzlies.
Tonight’s game should be a great bounce-back opportunity for the Rockets, but Houston has been disappointing as of late. After losing to the Chicago Bulls, they gave up a 13-point lead in overtime.
The Rockets could win in a blowout, but I wouldn’t be at all surprised if the shorthanded Grizz keep things close. Instead, I’ll bet the Over. Both teams are ranked in the bottom 10 in defense across their last 10 appearances, and buckets should come easily.
Rockets vs Grizzlies SGP
- Amen Thompson Over 7.5 rebounds
- Amen Thompson Over 5.5 assists
- Over 227.5
Our "from downtown" SGP: Durant from Downtown!
Across the last 10 games, Memphis has allowed the fourth-most triples and the eighth-highest three-point percentage to opponents. Thompson should have ample opportunities to drive and kick out to Kevin Durant and Reed Sheppard or corral offensive rebounds and find shooters for second-chance buckets.
Durant has hit 3+ triples in three of his last four games, and he hit four in his last matchup with the Grizzlies. Sheppard has knocked down just 5-of-24 three-pointers across his last two games, but he’s due for a rebound performance in this favorable matchup.
Rockets vs Grizzlies SGP
- Amen Thompson Over 7.5 rebounds
- Amen Thompson Over 5.5 assists
- Reed Sheppard Over 3.5 three-pointers
- Kevin Durant Over 2.5 three-pointers
Rockets vs Grizzlies odds
- Spread: Rockets -12.5 | Grizzlies +12.5
- Moneyline: Rockets -900 | Grizzlies +600
- Over/Under: Over 227.5 | Under 227.5
Rockets vs Grizzlies betting trend to know
The Houston Rockets have only covered the Spread in 16 of their last 50 games (-21.40 Units / -39% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Rockets vs. Grizzlies.
How to watch Rockets vs Grizzlies
| Location | FedExForum, Memphis, TN |
| Date | Friday, March 27, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 8:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | Space City Home Network, FDSN Southeast |
Rockets vs Grizzlies latest injuries
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