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Seahawks Vs Chiefs Prediction, Picks & Odds For Tonight's Nfl Preseason Game

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The defending Super Bowl champion Seattle Seahawks close out their preseason schedule Friday night with a trip to Arrowhead to face the Kansas City Chiefs.

Seattle enters the exhibition finale as a 1.5-point road favorite, and with the Seahawks expected to give at least some of their key players work, there is plenty to like about the visitors in this matchup.

That has me siding with Seattle in my Seahawks vs. Chiefs predictions and NFL picks for Friday night.

Kickoff is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET on ESPN Unlimited.

Seahawks vs Chiefs prediction

For help understanding Kalshi probabilities, see our odds calculator.

Pick
Probability
Seahawks -1.551%
Total pick50%

Percentages courtesy of Kalshi, one of the best prediction market apps.

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 TOP PICK

Who will win Seahawks vs Chiefs: Seahawks -1.5

Kalshi probability: 51%

Anyone hoping for a Kenneth Walker III revenge game against his former team will be disappointed, as the Kansas City Chiefs' offseason pickup sits alongside Patrick Mahomes — who hasn’t taken a preseason snap. 

I expect the Seattle Seahawks to have the edge in starter usage, with Sam Darnold and key starters expected to see some action as they install Brian Fleury’s offense. 

There’s also motivation at RB, with Zach Charbonnet on the PUP list and Jadarian Price competing for the starting role. 

K.C. has scored just one preseason TD without Mahomes in two games. Seattle’s superior depth and expected snap advantage make -3.5 a playable bet. 

Seahawks vs Chiefs Over/Under pick: Under 36.5

Kalshi probability: 50%

A line like this could be obliterated in the regular season, but preseason is different. Kansas City has scored just 27 points in two losses, with 21 coming from the boot of Harrison Butker. 

Seattle has been even quieter, totaling 23 points in losses to Dallas and Tennessee. 

Chiefs’ seventh-round pick Garrett Nussmeier hasn’t topped 100 passing yards in either game, while Seattle’s defensive depth remains formidable. 

Sam Darnold should generate some offense, but both teams have little incentive to push the pace or risk key players. This looks more like a 60-minute tune-up than a shootout.

Seahawks vs Chiefs live odds

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Seahawks vs Chiefs weather

Mostly clear skies expected with temps at 85 F at kickoff, dipping into the 70s by the end. Southeast winds expected around 8 mph, which should have minimal impact.

How to watch Seahawks vs Chiefs

LocationArrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO
DateFriday, Aug. 28, 2026
Kickoff8 p.m. ET
TVESPN Unlimited

Seahawks vs Chiefs latest injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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