Spurs Vs Trail Blazers Computer Picks: Our Best Player Prop Projections For Game 3

Spurs Game 3 computer picks

Stephon Castle Under 19.5 points (-112)

Projection: 16.9 points

Stephon Castle is a developing scorer who still relies heavily on Victor Wembanyama drawing attention in the paint. Without Wembanyama, Portland can key in on Castle and limit his driving lanes.

At 16.9 points projected, the gap between that number and 19.5 is hard to ignore, which is why we are following our model and playing the Under. 

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Devin Vassell Under 14.5 points (-112)

Projection: 13.38 points

Devin Vassell is an efficient off-ball scorer, but his production is closely tied to the San Antonio Spurs' offensive flow. With De'Aaron Fox set to dominate usage in Wemby's absence, Vassell's shot volume takes a hit.

Projected at 13.38 points and available at a reasonable price, the Under 14.5 is exactly the kind of line you want to attack.

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De'Aaron Fox Under 19.5 points (-120)

Projection: 17.69 points

De'Aaron Fox needs Wembanyama to be gone or severely limited to clear his points total. With Wemby now looking like he might play tonight, Fox likely won't score 20 points as he's failed to do so in three of his last five games with the big fella on the floor.

Expect the Spurs point guard to take a back seat to Wembanyama, and go Under his points total. 

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Trail Blazers Game 3 computer picks

Toumani Camara Over 10.5 points (-120)

Projection: 12.16 points

Toumani Camara is a relentless cutter and transition threat for the Portland Trail Blazers, who doesn't need the ball in his hands to produce. With San Antonio's defense possibly missing its anchor, Camara has room to operate.

Projected at 12.16 points with a 22% edge over the line, this is one of the cleaner Overs on the board tonight.

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Scoot Henderson Over 2.5 rebounds (+100)

Projection: 3.1 rebounds

Scoot Henderson is more than a playmaker. He crashes the glass with purpose and competes for boards on both ends. Projected at 3.2 rebounds, the 2.5 line is set low enough to exploit, and you're getting plus money to do it.

Henderson has the motor and the minutes to clear this with room to spare, and he's done so in two of his previous three games. 

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Jrue Holiday Over 16.5 points (-112)

Projection: 18.13 points

Jrue Holiday is a proven playoff performer who elevates when the stakes are highest. Holiday is going to see heavy usage tonight as the Trail Blazers primary ball-handler and shot creator.

He's topped this number in three of his previous five games, and at 18.13 projected points, the Over here is backed by the data. 

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